Introduction
Randomised controlled trials have long been considered the gold standard for assessing the effects of drug treatments. Whether these trials comprehensively describe the scope of real world clinical practice, however, has been questioned.1 Also, randomised controlled trials might not be feasible for dealing with specific clinical questions, including a particular population, or providing timely evidence.2 3
The prominence of non-randomised studies has risen in recent years, specifically with the increase in real world data.4 5 Subsequently, non-randomised studies can provide evidence on broader patient populations, various treatment regimens, long term outcomes, rare events, and harms.6 7 These studies can have a role in generating timely and cost effective evidence for comparative effectiveness research, providing insight for decision making on drug treatments in the real world setting.8–10 A study summarising the levels of evidence supporting clinical practice guidelines in cardiology found that 40% of 6329 recommendations were supported by level of evidence B (ie, supported by data from observational studies or one randomised controlled trial), with only few recommendations supported by evidence from randomised trials.11
Non-randomised studies are susceptible to numerous limitations related to their design and analysis choices, which could result in effect estimates that are biased.12 Several guidelines have been developed for reporting non-randomised studies,13–15 and the target trial emulation framework has been developed to overcome the avoidable methodological pitfalls of traditional causal analysis of observational data, thus reducing the risk of bias.16 The framework suggests that a non-randomised study should be conceptualised as an attempt to emulate a hypothetical randomised controlled trial addressing a research question of interest, to make causal inference with observational data.16 This framework requires specifying key components of the target trial, such as time points of eligibility, treatment assignment, and start of follow-up. Failure to align these time points would impose a risk of bias in effect estimates.16
The literature highlights particular concerns in non-randomised studies, such as inadequate reporting, and occasionally focuses on specific conditions.17–20 But the heterogeneity and limitations in the conduct, analysis, and reporting of non-randomised studies, in a representative sample of reports, has not been well studied. In this study, our aim was to examine the characteristics of comparative non-randomised studies that assessed the effectiveness or safety, or both, of drug treatments. We focused on general characteristics, reporting characteristics, and time point alignment, and possible related biases.