Predictors for cardiovascular disease | Women (model 1) | Men (model 1) |
Age group (years) | ||
<40 | 0.25 (0.23 to 0.28) | 0.22 (0.20 to 0.24) |
40-49 | 1 | 1 |
50-59 | 1.86 (1.73 to 1.99) | 2.01 (1.90 to 2.12) |
60-69 | 3.64 (3.39 to 3.90) | 3.25 (3.08 to 3.43) |
70-79 | 7.62 (7.09 to 8.18) | 5.78 (5.46 to 6.12) |
Ethnic origin | ||
Māori | 1.79 (1.69 to 1.90) | 1.59 (1.51 to 1.68) |
New Zealand European | 1 | 1 |
Pacific Island | 1.29 (1.21 to 1.38) | 1.18 (1.11 to 1.25) |
Indian | 1.00 (0.92 to 1.10) | 1.25 (1.17 to 1.34) |
Chinese | 0.61 (0.55 to 0.68) | 0.53 (0.48 to 0.58) |
Other * | 0.74 (0.67 to 0.82) | 0.73 (0.67 to 0.79) |
Socioeconomic deprivation group, divided by quintile (NZDep, per quintile) | 1.11 (1.09 to 1.13) | 1.10 (1.09 to 1.11) |
Diabetes | 1.91 (1.79 to 2.04) | 1.95 (1.84 to 2.07) |
Atrial fibrillation † | 2.04 (1.84 to 2.26) | 1.50 (1.38 to 1.63) |
Dispensing of drug treatment ‡ | ||
Blood pressure lowering | 1.85 (1.77 to 1.95) | 1.53 (1.46 to 1.59) |
Lipid lowering | 0.93 (0.88 to 0.97) | 0.95 (0.91 to 0.99) |
Antiplatelet | 1.28 (1.21 to 1.35) | 1.18 (1.13 to 1.24) |
Anticoagulation | 1.40 (1.23 to 1.60) | 1.43 (1.29 to 1.57) |
Gout | 1.34 (1.23 to 1.45) | 1.18 (1.12 to 1.24) |
Model 1=Cox proportional hazards model for fatal or first non-fatal cardiovascular events adjusted for age; ethnic origin; level of socioeconomic deprivation; history of diabetes; hospital admission for atrial fibrillation; and dispensing of blood pressure lowering, lipid lowering, antiplatelet or anticoagulant drug treatments; plus the additional variable of defined gout.
*Includes non-Chinese and non-Indian Asian, Middle Eastern, Latin American, African, and others not specified.
†Admission to hospital for atrial fibrillation (primary or secondary diagnosis).
‡Dispensing of drugs at least once in the previous six months before 1 January 2012.