Prognostic markers and long-term outcome of placental-site trophoblastic tumours: a retrospective observational study

Lancet. 2009 Jul 4;374(9683):48-55. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(09)60618-8. Epub 2009 Jun 22.

Abstract

Background: Placental-site trophoblastic tumours are a rare form of gestational trophoblastic disease and consequently information about optimum management or prognostic factors is restricted. We aimed to assess the long-term outcome of stage-adapted management by surgery, chemotherapy, or both for patients with the disorder.

Methods: 35 550 women were registered with gestational trophoblastic disease in the UK (1976-2006), of whom 62 were diagnosed with placental-site trophoblastic tumours and included, retrospectively, in the study. Patients were treated by surgery, chemotherapy, or both. We estimated the probabilities of overall survival and survival without recurrence of disease 5 and 10 years after the date of first treatment, and calculated the association of these endpoints with prognostic factors, including time since antecedent pregnancy, serum concentration of beta-human chorionic gonadotropin, and stage of disease, with both univariate and multivariate analyses.

Findings: Probabilities of overall and recurrence-free survival 10 years after first treatment were 70% (95% CI 54-82) and 73% (54-85), respectively. Patients with stage I disease had a 10-year probability of overall survival of 90% (77-100) and did not benefit from postoperative chemotherapy. By contrast, patients with stage II, III, and IV disease required combined treatment with surgery and chemotherapy; probability of overall survival at 10 years was 52% (3-100) for patients with stage II disease and 49% (26-72) for stage III or IV disease. Outcome for patients who had recurrent or refractory disease was poor: only four (22%) patients achieved long-term survival beyond 60 months. Multivariate analysis showed that the only significant independent predictor of overall and recurrence-free survival was time since antecedent pregnancy. A cutoff point of 48 months since antecedent pregnancy could differentiate between patients' probability of survival (<48 months) or death (>/=48 months) with 93% specificity and 100% sensitivity, and with a positive predictive value of 100% and a negative predictive value of 98%.

Interpretation: Stage-adapted management with surgery for stage I disease, and combined surgery and chemotherapy for stage II, III, and IV disease could improve the effectiveness of treatment for placental-site trophoblastic tumours. Use of 48 months since antecedent pregnancy as a prognostic indicator of survival could help select patients for risk-adapted treatment.

Funding: National Commissioning Group.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Analysis of Variance
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / therapeutic use
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / metabolism
  • Chorionic Gonadotropin / metabolism
  • Combined Modality Therapy
  • Cyclophosphamide / therapeutic use
  • Dactinomycin / therapeutic use
  • Etoposide / therapeutic use
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hysterectomy
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Methotrexate / therapeutic use
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / epidemiology
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Pregnancy
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Survival Rate
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Trophoblastic Tumor, Placental Site / diagnosis*
  • Trophoblastic Tumor, Placental Site / metabolism
  • Trophoblastic Tumor, Placental Site / mortality
  • Trophoblastic Tumor, Placental Site / therapy*
  • United Kingdom / epidemiology
  • Uterine Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Uterine Neoplasms / metabolism
  • Uterine Neoplasms / mortality
  • Uterine Neoplasms / therapy*
  • Vincristine / therapeutic use

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Chorionic Gonadotropin
  • Dactinomycin
  • Vincristine
  • Etoposide
  • Cyclophosphamide
  • Methotrexate

Supplementary concepts

  • EMA-CO protocol
  • MAE protocol